Erkenschwick vs Schermbeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 33Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick
The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Schermbeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erkenschwick vs Schermbeck?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Erkenschwick (1,649) and Schermbeck (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Schermbeck have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Clarholz(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Preußen Münster II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Meppen II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Erkenschwick win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Schermbeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Schermbeck 0-0 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Erkenschwick 4-2 Schermbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Erkenschwick 0-3 Schermbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Schermbeck 2-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Schermbeck 0-4 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Erkenschwick 1-3 Schermbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Schermbeck vs Erkenschwick on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Schermbeck score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Schermbeck | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erkenschwick sit 3rd in Oberliga - Westfalen (7 points from 3 matches) and Schermbeck sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 17 | Schermbeck | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs Schermbeck?
- The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Schermbeck.
- Where and when is Erkenschwick vs Schermbeck played?
- Erkenschwick vs Schermbeck is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027Arminia IIvsVreden
- May 23, 2027GievenbeckvsLippstadt 08
- May 23, 2027HiltrupvsMaaslingen
- May 23, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsSprockhovel
- May 23, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- May 23, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsEintracht Rheine
- May 23, 2027EnnepetalvsTuS Hordel
- May 23, 2027Verl IIvsASC Dortmund