Verl II vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 33Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Verl II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl II vs ASC Dortmund?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Verl II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 ASC Dortmund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | ASC Dortmund 2-1 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Verl II 0-1 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Verl II 1-3 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 27, 2024 | ASC Dortmund 1-2 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: ASC Dortmund vs Verl II on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl II | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl II sit 5th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 3 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Verl II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl II vs ASC Dortmund?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Verl II.
- Where and when is Verl II vs ASC Dortmund played?
- Verl II vs ASC Dortmund is played on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027Arminia IIvsVreden
- May 23, 2027ErkenschwickvsSchermbeck
- May 23, 2027GievenbeckvsLippstadt 08
- May 23, 2027HiltrupvsMaaslingen
- May 23, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsSprockhovel
- May 23, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- May 23, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsEintracht Rheine
- May 23, 2027EnnepetalvsTuS Hordel