Match

Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bolluca Stadı, Arnavutköy

Arnavutköy BelediyesporAliağa FAŞ

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ?

Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,624).

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win24 %
Draw26 %
Aliağa FAŞ win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arnavutköy Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Isparta 32 Spor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Adanaspor(away)1-02. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-22. Lig
Mar 28, 20261461 Trabzon FK(away)1-02. Lig
Mar 14, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)0-32. Lig
Aliağa FAŞ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Bursaspor(home)0-52. Lig
Apr 19, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Menemen FK(home)5-02. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Aliağa FAŞ 3-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor2. Lig
Nov 2, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor 1-0 Aliağa FAŞ2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arnavutköy Belediyespor0.71.074/154/15
Aliağa FAŞ2.11.758/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th in 2. Lig (46 points from 34 matches) and Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th (69 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Aliağa FAŞ342167813269
12Arnavutköy Belediyespor3413714403646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
Where and when is Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?
Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bolluca Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arnavutköy Belediyespor and Aliağa FAŞ

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