Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bolluca Stadı, Arnavutköy
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ 3-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor 1-0 Aliağa FAŞ | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th in 2. Lig (46 points from 34 matches) and Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th (69 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
| 12 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 36 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
- The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?
- Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bolluca Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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