Match

Elazığspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ

ElazığsporSebat Gençlikspor

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Sebat Gençlikspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elazığspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?

Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,743).

Elazığspor win55 %
Draw23 %
Sebat Gençlikspor win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Sebat Gençlikspor have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elazığspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
May 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)4-22. Lig
Apr 25, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-02. Lig
Sebat Gençlikspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)2-33. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Orduspor 1967(away)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 20261926 Bulancak(home)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 28, 2026Çayelispor(away)0-03. Lig - Group 3
Mar 24, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(home)1-03. Lig - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elazığspor2.30.787/159/15
Sebat Gençlikspor1.50.776/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elazığspor362169823769

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Sebat Gençlikspor.
Where and when is Elazığspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor played?
Elazığspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Elazığspor and Sebat Gençlikspor

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