Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bolluca Stadı, Arnavutköy
The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Arnavutköy Belediyespor (1,635) and Kastamonuspor (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kastamonuspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2024 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Kastamonuspor 3-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor on May 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th in 2. Lig (46 points from 34 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
| 12 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 36 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
- The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor played?
- Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bolluca Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027Ankarasporvs68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- Feb 14, 2027Adana DemirsporvsMenemen FK
- Feb 14, 2027HataysporvsIsparta 32 Spor
- Feb 14, 2027Güzide GebzesporvsŞanlıurfaspor
- Feb 14, 2027Muş Sport Klübüvsİnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
- Feb 14, 2027Aliağa FAŞvsErbaaspor
- Feb 14, 2027Sebat GençliksporvsSomaspor
- Feb 14, 2027Çorluspor 1947vsElazığspor