Match

Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bolluca Stadı, Arnavutköy

Arnavutköy BelediyesporKastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Arnavutköy Belediyespor (1,635) and Kastamonuspor (1,663).

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win45 %
Draw27 %
Kastamonuspor win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arnavutköy Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Isparta 32 Spor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Adanaspor(away)1-02. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-22. Lig
Mar 28, 20261461 Trabzon FK(away)1-02. Lig
Mar 14, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)0-32. Lig
Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kastamonuspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2024Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2-2 Kastamonuspor2. Lig
Dec 24, 2023Kastamonuspor 3-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor on May 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arnavutköy Belediyespor0.71.074/154/15
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th in 2. Lig (46 points from 34 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642
12Arnavutköy Belediyespor3413714403646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor played?
Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bolluca Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arnavutköy Belediyespor and Kastamonuspor

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