Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor played?

Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu

Kastamonuspor

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Kastamonuspor (1,653) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor (1,625).

Kastamonuspor win33 %

Draw28 %

Arnavutköy Belediyespor win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kastamonuspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muğlaspor(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Şanlıurfaspor(away)	2-5	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Karaman FK(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	0-4	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	1-2	2. Lig

Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	2-0	2. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Adanaspor(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	1-2	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	1461 Trabzon FK(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Mar 14, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(away)	0-3	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kastamonuspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2024	Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2-2 Kastamonuspor	2. Lig
Dec 24, 2023	Kastamonuspor 3-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor on May 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kastamonuspor	0.7	1.8	2	7/15	6/15
Arnavutköy Belediyespor	0.7	1.0	7	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kastamonuspor sit 12th in 2. Lig (42 points from 36 matches) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	44	56	42
12	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	34	13	7	14	40	36	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?: The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor played?: Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.