Match

Kastamonuspor vs Muş Sport Klübü: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu

KastamonusporMuş Sport Klübü

The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?

Muş Sport Klübü starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,663).

Kastamonuspor win19 %
Draw22 %
Muş Sport Klübü win59 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Muş Sport Klübü have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig
Muş Sport Klübü
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Mardin 1969(away)1-22. Lig
May 4, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(home)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Adanaspor(home)6-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Fethiyespor(away)1-12. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15
Muş Sport Klübü1.91.1310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kastamonuspor sit 12th in 2. Lig (42 points from 36 matches) and Muş Sport Klübü sit 3rd (70 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Muş Sport Klübü342176823570
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?
The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Muş Sport Klübü played?
Kastamonuspor vs Muş Sport Klübü is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kastamonuspor and Muş Sport Klübü

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