Arnedo vs Peña Sport: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sendero, Arnedo
The Footlab AI model makes Arnedo the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Peña Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arnedo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,146 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arnedo vs Peña Sport?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Arnedo (1,879) and Peña Sport (1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arnedo vs Peña Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arnedo
Not enough data to predict the Arnedo lineup.
Peña Sport
Not enough data to predict the Peña Sport lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 07:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnedo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Peña Sport have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Calamocha(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arnedo score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Sport score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnedo | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Peña Sport | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arnedo sit 18th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (2 points from 7 matches) and Peña Sport sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Peña Sport | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Arnedo | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 2 |
A question about Arnedo vs Peña Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arnedo vs Peña Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arnedo the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Peña Sport.
- Where and when is Arnedo vs Peña Sport played?
- Arnedo vs Peña Sport is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sendero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.