Arouca vs Estoril: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 6, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Estoril?
Arouca won 1-0 on January 6, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 19′David SimãoArouca (pen.)
Official lineup for Arouca vs Estoril
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Arouca
- 99Maurides
- 7Artur
- 8David Simão
- 11Ivo Rodrigues
- 50Nuno Valente
- 66Nuno Miguel Prata Coelho
- 3Hugo Basto
- 4J. Velázquez
- 6Lucas Lima
- 13Jaílson
- 1Rafael Bracali
Estoril
- 9Léo Bonatini
- 10Gerso
- 6Afonso Taira
- 13A. Esiti
- 25Diogo Amado
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 2Yohan Tavares
- 5Anderson Luis Ribeiro Pereira
- 7Luís Miguel Lopes Mendes
- 34Diego Carlos
- 1P. Kieszek
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Estoril have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | Nacional(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 19, 2015 | Maritimo(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Boavista(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Academica(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | Maritimo(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 19, 2015 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 11, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Arouca wins, 2 draws, 2 Estoril wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2015 | Estoril 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2014 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Arouca 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Estoril | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Estoril sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
A question about Arouca vs Estoril?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy