Estoril vs Arouca: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 25, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Arouca?
Estoril won 1-0 on January 25, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 48′Léo BonatiniEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Arouca have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 9, 2015 | Moreirense(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 3, 2015 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2014 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2014 | Maritimo(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | Moreirense(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 11, 2015 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 21, 2014 | Maritimo(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2014 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Estoril win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2014 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Arouca 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Arouca | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy