Arouca vs Estoril: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 18, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Full time
What was the result of Arouca vs Estoril?
Arouca and Estoril drew 1-1 on August 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 16′PintassilgoArouca
- 31′KucaEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Estoril have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2014 | Belenenses(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2014 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 17, 2014 | Guimaraes(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2014 | Maritimo(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2014 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2014 | Belenenses(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 19, 2014 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 14, 2014 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 4, 2014 | Guimaraes(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2014 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Arouca 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Estoril | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Estoril sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy