Arouca vs Estoril: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 11, 2019 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Estoril?
Arouca won 2-1 on May 11, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 34′RobertoEstoril
- 54′Fábio FortesArouca
- 89′Jeroen Lombe LumuArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Estoril have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2019 | Farense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Guimaraes B(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 14, 2019 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Varzim(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2019 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Penafiel(away) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Farense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 7, 2019 | SC Covilha(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arouca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2019 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| May 21, 2017 | Estoril 4-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 13, 2017 | Arouca 2-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 9, 2016 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2016 | Arouca 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Estoril 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Estoril | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy