Estoril vs Arouca: result 1-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 9, 2019 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Arouca?
Estoril and Arouca drew 1-1 on January 9, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 28′Adílio SantosArouca
- 73′Sandro LimaEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Arouca have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2019 | Penafiel(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 21, 2018 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Farense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 8, 2018 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2019 | Farense(home) | 3-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 2, 2019 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Guimaraes B(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 16, 2018 | SC Covilha(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Varzim(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2017 | Estoril 4-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 13, 2017 | Arouca 2-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 9, 2016 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2016 | Arouca 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Estoril 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Arouca | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy