Arouca vs Estrela: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 19, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Full time
What was the result of Arouca vs Estrela?
Arouca won 1-0 on April 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 67′D. NandínArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Estrela have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Farense(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nacional(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | Estrela 2-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Arouca 0-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Estrela 1-4 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 3rd in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Estrela sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy