Arouca vs Estrela: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 19, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Full time
What was the result of Arouca vs Estrela?
Arouca won 1-0 on April 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 67′D. NandínArouca
Official lineup for Arouca vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Arouca
4-4-2- 19A. Trezza
- 50G. Yalçın
- 2M. Sylla
- 21T. Fukui
- 89Pedro Santos
- 10Jason
- 27A. Danté
- 3José Fontán
- 73Chico Lamba
- 78Alex Pinto
- 58N. Mantl
Estrela
3-4-3- 97Jovane Cabral
- 98Kikas
- 10A. Ruiz
- 21Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 12A. Oudrhiri
- 2Diogo Travassos
- 5I. Dramé
- 4Ferro
- 27R. Pantalon
- 24Andorinha
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Estrela have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Farense(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nacional(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arouca win, 1 draw, 1 Estrela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | Estrela 2-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Arouca 0-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Estrela 1-4 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Arouca vs Estrela?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy