Arouca vs Nacional: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 6, 2018 at 10:15 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Nacional?
Nacional won 0-1 on May 6, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 4′Ricardo GomesNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nacional have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2018 | Penafiel(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Leixoes(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 11, 2018 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Guimaraes B(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2018 | Leixoes(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 22, 2018 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Santa Clara(home) | 3-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 11, 2018 | U. Madeira(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Academica(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arouca win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2017 | Nacional 2-2 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Nacional 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Arouca 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 1, 2016 | Arouca 3-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Nacional 2-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 8, 2015 | Arouca 3-3 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 2.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy