Arouca vs Nacional: result 3-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 1, 2016 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Nacional?
Arouca won 3-0 on May 1, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′W. GonzálezArouca
- 38′MateusArouca (pen.)
- 63′W. GonzálezArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nacional have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2016 | Maritimo(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 8, 2016 | Boavista(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Academica(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2016 | Moreirense(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 17, 2016 | FC Porto(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Estoril(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Maritimo(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Guimaraes(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | Nacional 2-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 8, 2015 | Arouca 3-3 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Nacional 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Nacional 0-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.4 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.4 | 1.2 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nacional | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy