Arouca vs Nacional: result 3-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 8, 2015 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Nacional?
Arouca and Nacional drew 3-3 on February 8, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. RondónNacional
- 25′M. RondónNacional
- 40′Rui SampaioArouca
- 79′RobertoArouca
- 84′RobertoArouca
- 85′M. RondónNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Nacional have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2015 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Estoril(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2015 | Moreirense(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 11, 2015 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | Belenenses(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Moreirense(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2015 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 11, 2015 | Boavista(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2014 | Nacional 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Nacional 0-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy