Arouca vs Penafiel: result 1-4 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 29, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 1-4 on April 29, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 22′LudovicPenafiel
- 29′Gustavo Nascimento da CostaPenafiel
- 78′RobertoArouca
- 84′Gustavo Nascimento da CostaPenafiel (pen.)
- 90′Fábio AbreuPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Penafiel have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2018 | Leixoes(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 11, 2018 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Guimaraes B(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 31, 2018 | U. Madeira(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2018 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Leixoes(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 11, 2018 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Benfica B(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 31, 2018 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | Penafiel 2-0 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 19, 2015 | Penafiel 0-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Arouca 0-1 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy