Arouca vs Penafiel: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 7, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 0-1 on December 7, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 12′CapelaPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Penafiel have 1, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | Belenenses(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 7, 2014 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 2, 2014 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2014 | FC Porto(home) | 0-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 5, 2014 | Benfica(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | SC Braga(home) | 1-6 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Boavista(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Estoril(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2014 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 0.6 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Penafiel | 0.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 4/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy