Arouca vs Penafiel: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 15, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 0-1 on March 15, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 69′Ronaldo TavaresPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Penafiel have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2021 | Benfica B(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Academico Viseu(away) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Varzim(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Leixoes(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | SC Covilha(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Academica(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Mafra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 21, 2021 | FC Porto B(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2020 | Penafiel 2-2 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 20, 2019 | Arouca 2-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Penafiel 1-2 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Arouca 1-4 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 17, 2017 | Penafiel 2-0 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 19, 2015 | Penafiel 0-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.2 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy