Arouca vs Real: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 11, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Full time
What was the result of Arouca vs Real?
Arouca won 1-0 on February 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 45′Victor MassaiaArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | Academico Viseu(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2018 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2018 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 7, 2018 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2018 | Sporting CP B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2018 | U. Madeira(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Leixoes(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 6, 2018 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Real win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2017 | Real 0-1 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Real 1-0 Arouca | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy