Penafiel vs Varzim: result 2-3 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 10, 2018 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
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What was the result of Penafiel vs Varzim?
Varzim won 2-3 on February 10, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 4′LudovicPenafiel
- 14′A. ZekaVarzim
- 29′Abilio Rafael Barbosa de SousaPenafiel
- 48′Rúben MacedoVarzim
- 90′BubaVarzim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Varzim have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | SC Braga B(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 31, 2018 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2018 | Famalicao(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Nacional(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 7, 2018 | SC Covilha(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | Benfica B(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2018 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2018 | Leixoes(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Academica(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Penafiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2017 | Varzim 3-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Varzim 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Penafiel 2-1 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Varzim | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy