Arouca vs SC Braga: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2013 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs SC Braga?
SC Braga won 0-1 on September 20, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 9′Aderllan SantosSC Braga
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; SC Braga have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2013 | Nacional(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 1, 2013 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Estoril(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2013 | Estoril(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 1, 2013 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 26, 2013 | Belenenses(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2013 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 19, 2013 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; SC Braga score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| SC Braga | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and SC Braga sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy