Arouca vs Varzim: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 9, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Varzim?
Varzim won 0-1 on December 9, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 32′RusterVarzim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Varzim have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | Academica(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 22, 2018 | Benfica(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Leixoes(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Cova De Piedade(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Mafra(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 12, 2018 | Oliveirense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Farense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 21, 2018 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Estoril(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | Arouca 1-2 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Varzim 0-0 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Varzim | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy