Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion u Parku, Tivat
The Footlab model makes Arsenal Tivat the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Otrant-Olympic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Arsenal Tivat (1,448) and Otrant-Olympic (1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Tivat have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Otrant-Olympic have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 1-4 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arsenal Tivat win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Otrant-Olympic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Otrant-Olympic 4-1 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Arsenal Tivat 2-1 Otrant-Olympic | First League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Otrant-Olympic 0-2 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Arsenal Tivat 0-0 Otrant-Olympic | First League |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Otrant-Olympic 2-3 Arsenal Tivat | Second League |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Arsenal Tivat 3-1 Otrant-Olympic | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Tivat score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Otrant-Olympic score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tivat | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Otrant-Olympic | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal Tivat sit 9th in First League (3 points from 3 matches) and Otrant-Olympic sit 6th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Otrant-Olympic | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tivat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic?
- The Footlab model makes Arsenal Tivat the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Otrant-Olympic.
- Where and when is Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic played?
- Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion u Parku, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.