Match

Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Colney Training Centre, Colney, Norfolk

Arsenal U21Newcastle United U21

The Footlab model makes Arsenal U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Newcastle United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Arsenal U21 (1,770) and Newcastle United U21 (1,716).

Arsenal U21 win50 %
Draw23 %
Newcastle United U21 win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Newcastle United U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arsenal U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Crystal Palace U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Barnet(away)1-5EFL Trophy
Apr 25, 2026Manchester City U21(away)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 13, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)0-2Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 4, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Newcastle United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Tamworth(away)3-5National League Cup
Apr 27, 2026Swansea City U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026Wolves U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Manchester United U21(away)3-1Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Arsenal U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Newcastle United U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2026Arsenal U21 1-0 Newcastle United U21Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2025Arsenal U21 2-1 Newcastle United U21Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 21, 2025Arsenal U21 4-1 Newcastle United U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21 on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arsenal U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle United U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arsenal U211.22.057/158/15
Newcastle United U211.52.028/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arsenal U21 sit 12th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Newcastle United U21 sit 27th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Arsenal U211010111
27Newcastle United U211001130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
The Footlab model makes Arsenal U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Newcastle United U21.
Where and when is Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21 played?
Arsenal U21 vs Newcastle United U21 is played on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Colney Training Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arsenal U21 and Newcastle United U21

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