Arsenal vs Brentford: result 3-1 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 26, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of Arsenal vs Brentford?
Arsenal won 3-1 on September 26, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 5′D. WelbeckArsenal
- 37′D. WelbeckArsenal
- 58′A. JudgeBrentford
- 90′A. LacazetteArsenal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Brentford have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2018 | Everton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2018 | Vorskla Poltava(home) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Newcastle(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Cardiff(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2018 | West Ham(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Derby(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2018 | Ipswich(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Wigan(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2018 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Brentford | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy