Arsenal vs Newcastle: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 24, 2024 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of Arsenal vs Newcastle?
Arsenal won 4-1 on February 24, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 18′S. BotmanArsenal (o.g.)
- 24′K. HavertzArsenal
- 65′B. SakaArsenal
- 69′J. KiwiorArsenal
- 84′J. WillockNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Newcastle have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Burnley(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | West Ham(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Liverpool(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Luton(home) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Aston Villa(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Fulham(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arsenal win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Newcastle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| May 7, 2023 | Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| May 16, 2022 | Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| May 2, 2021 | Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 2nd in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Newcastle sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy