Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: result 4-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 24, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa won 4-2 on February 24, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 4′O. WatkinsAston Villa
- 29′Douglas LuizAston Villa
- 39′Douglas LuizAston Villa
- 45′M. NiakhatéNottingham Forest
- 48′M. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest
- 61′L. BaileyAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fulham(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Manchester United(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Chelsea(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Newcastle(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | West Ham(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Newcastle(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Arsenal(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aston Villa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nottingham Forest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | Nottingham Forest 2-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Aston Villa 2-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2019 | Nottingham Forest 1-3 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2018 | Aston Villa 5-5 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Aston Villa | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa on Nov 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aston Villa sit 20th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Nottingham Forest sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy