Artesanos Metepec vs Ciervos: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, Metepec
The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artesanos Metepec vs Ciervos?
Artesanos Metepec is a heavy favourite: 1,966 Elo points against 1,548, a 418-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artesanos Metepec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ciervos have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Racing(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Caja Oblatos CFD(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chilpancingo(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Artesanos Metepec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ciervos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ciervos 0-4 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Artesanos Metepec 4-0 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Ciervos 0-3 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Artesanos Metepec 2-0 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Ciervos vs Artesanos Metepec on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Artesanos Metepec score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artesanos Metepec | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ciervos | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artesanos Metepec vs Ciervos?
- The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Ciervos.
- Where and when is Artesanos Metepec vs Ciervos played?
- Artesanos Metepec vs Ciervos is played on January 23, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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