Match

Calor de San Pedro vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa

Calor de San PedroReal Refineros

The Footlab AI model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Real Refineros. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,506 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Real Refineros?

On Elo ratings, Calor de San Pedro has 1,816 points and Real Refineros 1,818.

53%21%26%
Calor de San Pedro winDrawReal Refineros win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Calor de San Pedro vs Real Refineros

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Calor de San Pedro

Not enough data to predict the Calor de San Pedro lineup.

Real Refineros

Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Real Refineros have 3, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calor de San Pedro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Héroes de Zaci(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 30, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(home)1-4Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 25, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(away)1-4Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 21, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 16, 2026Delfines Coatzacoalcos(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Real Refineros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Acatlan(away)3-1Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 31, 2026Guerreros(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 27, 2026FC Santiago(away)0-6Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 17, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 10, 2026Halcones Negros(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Calor de San Pedro wins, 1 draw, 0 Real Refineros wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Real Refineros 0-0 Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Real Refineros vs Calor de San Pedro on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Calor de San Pedro score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Refineros score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calor de San Pedro1.82.148/1511/15
Real Refineros1.72.327/118/11

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Calor de San Pedro sit 7th in Liga Premier Serie A (16 points from 11 matches) and Real Refineros sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Calor de San Pedro11416202716
8Real Refineros11515202515

A question about Calor de San Pedro vs Real Refineros?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Real Refineros?
The Footlab AI model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Real Refineros.
Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Real Refineros played?
Calor de San Pedro vs Real Refineros is played on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Calor de San Pedro and Real Refineros