Where and when is Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro played?

Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro is played on January 30, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias

Ciervos

Calor de San Pedro

The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro?

Calor de San Pedro is a heavy favourite: 1,867 Elo points against 1,548, a 319-point gap.

Ciervos win20 %

Draw24 %

Calor de San Pedro win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciervos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Chilpancingo(home)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	FC Santiago(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	0-2	Liga Premier Serie A

Calor de San Pedro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026	Lobos ULMX(home)	4-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Real Apodaca(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ciervos win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Calor de San Pedro win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Calor de San Pedro 3-1 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2025	Ciervos 1-2 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie A
Jan 11, 2025	Calor de San Pedro 3-1 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 7, 2024	Ciervos 1-4 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 23, 2023	Calor de San Pedro 4-0 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 7, 2022	Ciervos 2-3 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ciervos	0.9	1.7	2	10/15	8/15
Calor de San Pedro	1.3	0.9	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ciervos sit 13th in Liga Premier Serie A (18 points from 26 matches) and Calor de San Pedro sit 5th (44 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Calor de San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37	26	44
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20	50	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro?: The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ciervos.
Where and when is Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro played?: Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro is played on January 30, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.