Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias
The Footlab AI model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calor de San Pedro wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro?
Calor de San Pedro is a heavy favourite: 1,860 Elo points against 1,554, a 306-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ciervos
Not enough data to predict the Ciervos lineup.
Calor de San Pedro
Not enough data to predict the Calor de San Pedro lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 2-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(away) | 7-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Acambaro(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Halcones Negros(away) | 0-7 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ciervos wins, 0 draws, 6 Calor de San Pedro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro 4-0 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro 3-1 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ciervos 1-2 Calor de San Pedro | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Calor de San Pedro 3-1 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Ciervos 1-4 Calor de San Pedro | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Calor de San Pedro 4-0 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ciervos score 1.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Calor de San Pedro score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciervos | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Calor de San Pedro | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciervos sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (5 points from 8 matches) and Calor de San Pedro sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Calor de San Pedro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 5 |
A question about Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Ciervos.
- Where and when is Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro played?
- Ciervos vs Calor de San Pedro is played on January 30, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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