Artesanos Metepec vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, Metepec
The Footlab AI model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Real Refineros. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artesanos Metepec vs Real Refineros?
Artesanos Metepec starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,818).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Artesanos Metepec vs Real Refineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Artesanos Metepec
Not enough data to predict the Artesanos Metepec lineup.
Real Refineros
Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 11:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artesanos Metepec have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Real Refineros have 3, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Atlético Saltillo(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca(home) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Acatlan(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-6 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Artesanos Metepec win, 0 draws, 0 Real Refineros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Refineros 0-2 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Real Refineros vs Artesanos Metepec on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Artesanos Metepec score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Refineros score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artesanos Metepec | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Refineros | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/11 | 8/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Artesanos Metepec sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (25 points from 11 matches) and Real Refineros sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Artesanos Metepec | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 15 |
A question about Artesanos Metepec vs Real Refineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artesanos Metepec vs Real Refineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Real Refineros.
- Where and when is Artesanos Metepec vs Real Refineros played?
- Artesanos Metepec vs Real Refineros is played on January 9, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027FC SantiagovsVaqueros Reynosa
- Jan 9, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsCalor de San Pedro
- Jan 9, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsAcambaro
- Jan 9, 2027Correcaminos UAT IIvsHéroes de Zaci
- Jan 10, 2027La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsAtlético Saltillo
- Jan 10, 2027Dragones de OaxacavsCiervos
- Jan 10, 2027Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsHalcones Negros
- Jan 10, 2027GuerrerosvsAcatlan