Dragones de Oaxaca vs Ciervos: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Ciervos?
Dragones de Oaxaca is a heavy favourite: 1,881 Elo points against 1,536, a 345-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Ciervos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dragones de Oaxaca
Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.
Ciervos
Not enough data to predict the Ciervos lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragones de Oaxaca have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ciervos have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Refineros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 2-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Dragones de Oaxaca win, 0 draws, 0 Ciervos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ciervos 0-2 Dragones de Oaxaca | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Ciervos vs Dragones de Oaxaca on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dragones de Oaxaca score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Ciervos | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (18 points from 7 matches) and Ciervos sit 9th (2 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 2 |
A question about Dragones de Oaxaca vs Ciervos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Ciervos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Ciervos.
- Where and when is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Ciervos played?
- Dragones de Oaxaca vs Ciervos is played on January 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027FC SantiagovsVaqueros Reynosa
- Jan 9, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsCalor de San Pedro
- Jan 9, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsAcambaro
- Jan 9, 2027Correcaminos UAT IIvsHéroes de Zaci
- Jan 9, 2027Artesanos MetepecvsReal Refineros
- Jan 10, 2027La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsAtlético Saltillo
- Jan 10, 2027Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsHalcones Negros
- Jan 10, 2027GuerrerosvsAcatlan