Real Refineros vs Cañoneros Marina: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Refineros vs Cañoneros Marina?
Real Refineros starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,633).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Refineros vs Cañoneros Marina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Refineros
Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.
Cañoneros Marina
Not enough data to predict the Cañoneros Marina lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cañoneros Marina have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-6 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca(away) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Acatlan(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 1-7 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Real Refineros win, 0 draws, 0 Cañoneros Marina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina 0-1 Real Refineros | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Cañoneros Marina vs Real Refineros on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Refineros score 1.6 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 10; Cañoneros Marina score 1.1 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Refineros | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Cañoneros Marina | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Refineros sit 7th in Liga Premier Serie A (12 points from 10 matches) and Cañoneros Marina sit 10th (0 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Refineros | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 12 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
A question about Real Refineros vs Cañoneros Marina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs Cañoneros Marina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Cañoneros Marina.
- Where and when is Real Refineros vs Cañoneros Marina played?
- Real Refineros vs Cañoneros Marina is played on January 16, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Héroes de ZacivsFC Santiago
- Jan 16, 2027AcatlanvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Jan 16, 2027Mineros de FresnillovsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Jan 16, 2027CiervosvsGuerreros del Pacifico
- Jan 16, 2027Atlético SaltillovsReal Apodaca
- Jan 17, 2027Calor de San PedrovsArtesanos Metepec
- Jan 17, 2027Halcones NegrosvsDragones de Oaxaca
- Jan 17, 2027Vaqueros ReynosavsGuerreros