Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
The Footlab model makes Arzignano Valchiampo the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?
Arzignano Valchiampo starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arzignano Valchiampo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Pergolettese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arzignano Valchiampo win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Pergolettese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Pergolettese 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Pergolettese 0-2 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Pergolettese 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arzignano Valchiampo | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Pergolettese | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arzignano Valchiampo sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Pergolettese sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?
- The Footlab model makes Arzignano Valchiampo the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Pergolettese.
- Where and when is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese played?
- Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tommaso Dal Molin, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.