Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Polisportivo, Belluno
The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Dolomiti Bellunesi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Dolomiti Bellunesi (1,694) and Novara (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dolomiti Bellunesi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Novara have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Novara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Novara 1-1 Dolomiti Bellunesi | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Dolomiti Bellunesi 1-1 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dolomiti Bellunesi score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Novara | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dolomiti Bellunesi sit 7th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Novara sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Novara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara?
- The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Dolomiti Bellunesi.
- Where and when is Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara played?
- Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Polisportivo, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.