AS Agareb vs M'saken: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade Agareb, Agareb
The Footlab AI model makes M'saken the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for AS Agareb. The most likely score is 1-1. If M'saken wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Agareb vs M'saken?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate AS Agareb (1,491) and M'saken (1,572).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Agareb vs M'saken
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Agareb
Not enough data to predict the AS Agareb lineup.
M'saken
Not enough data to predict the M'saken lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Agareb have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; M'saken have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | EM Mahdia(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sporting Ben Arous(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stade Soussien(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | Sfax Railways(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Gabes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | EM Mahdia(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | CS Chebba(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | CS Chebba(home) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AS Agareb win, 1 draw, 0 M'saken wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | AS Agareb 1-0 M'saken | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | M'saken 0-0 AS Agareb | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
AS Agareb score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; M'saken score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Agareb | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| M'saken | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Agareb sit 23rd in Ligue 2 (3 points from 4 matches) and M'saken sit 5th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | M'saken | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 23 | AS Agareb | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
A question about AS Agareb vs M'saken?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Agareb vs M'saken?
- The Footlab AI model makes M'saken the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for AS Agareb.
- Where and when is AS Agareb vs M'saken played?
- AS Agareb vs M'saken is played on October 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Agareb, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.