Etzella Ettelbruck vs UNA Strassen: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif du Deich, Ettelbrück
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etzella Ettelbruck vs UNA Strassen?
UNA Strassen is a heavy favourite: 1,680 Elo points against 1,323 — a 357-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etzella Ettelbruck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; UNA Strassen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 UNA Strassen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Etzella Ettelbruck 3-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Dec 11, 2022 | UNA Strassen 4-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Feb 13, 2022 | UNA Strassen 2-3 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 2-3 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Apr 18, 2021 | UNA Strassen 1-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Etzella Ettelbruck 2-4 UNA Strassen | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Etzella Ettelbruck vs UNA Strassen on May 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th in National Division (1 points from 3 matches) and UNA Strassen sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etzella Ettelbruck vs UNA Strassen?
- The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is Etzella Ettelbruck vs UNA Strassen played?
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs UNA Strassen is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif du Deich, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026F91 DudelangevsRésidence Walferdange
- Nov 22, 2026FC Differdange 03vsProgres Niederkorn
- Nov 22, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsWiltz
- Nov 22, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Nov 22, 2026Victoria RosportvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Nov 22, 2026US HostertvsUS Rumelange
- Nov 22, 2026Swift HesperangevsAtert Bissen