AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Frontière, Esch-sur-Alzette
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for AS Jeunesse Esch. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03?
FC Differdange 03 starts as the favourite with a 279-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Jeunesse Esch have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC Differdange 03 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(home) | 1-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Berdenia Berbourg(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AS Jeunesse Esch win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Differdange 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 1-1 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Oct 1, 2025 | AS Jeunesse Esch 0-1 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Apr 6, 2025 | AS Jeunesse Esch 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Sep 29, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 1-0 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| Mar 30, 2024 | AS Jeunesse Esch 4-3 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Sep 27, 2023 | FC Differdange 03 3-1 AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Differdange 03 vs AS Jeunesse Esch on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Jeunesse Esch score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Jeunesse Esch sit 13th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and FC Differdange 03 sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for AS Jeunesse Esch.
- Where and when is AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 played?
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03 is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Frontière, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026F91 DudelangevsVictoria Rosport
- Oct 31, 2026Progres NiederkornvsSwift Hesperange
- Oct 31, 2026US RumelangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Oct 31, 2026UNA StrassenvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Oct 31, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsUS Hostert
- Oct 31, 2026Atert BissenvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Oct 31, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsWiltz