Match

FC Differdange 03 vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parc des Sports, Differdange

FC Differdange 03Progres Niederkorn

The Footlab AI model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Differdange 03 vs Progres Niederkorn?

FC Differdange 03 starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,592).

72%18%10%
FC Differdange 03 winDrawProgres Niederkorn win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Differdange 03 vs Progres Niederkorn

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Differdange 03

3-5-1-1
  1. 95Gustavo Vintecinco
  1. 77Leandro Borges
  2. 21L. Rauch
  3. 31S. Thill
  4. 20Rafael Pinto
  5. 8Bruno Reis
  6. 17Marceu Soares Delgado
  1. 25G. Franzoni
  2. 14J. Bedouret
  3. 4K. D'Anzico
  1. 1Felipe

Progres Niederkorn

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Bouche
  2. 77K. Corral
  3. 71F. Hoxha
  1. 23Clayton Duarte
  2. 80K. Avdusinovic
  3. 10Omar Natami
  1. 28A. Guett Guett
  2. 11M. Gilgemann
  3. 14C. Sacras
  4. 27V. Peugnet
  1. 1S. Flauss

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Differdange 03 have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Differdange 03
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Résidence Walferdange(home)6-0National Division
Sep 20, 2026Jeunesse Useldange(away)5-1Cup
Sep 16, 2026Swift Hesperange(home)3-0National Division
Sep 12, 2026Etzella Ettelbruck(home)1-0National Division
Sep 6, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(home)4-1National Division
Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026US Hostert(away)2-0National Division
Sep 20, 2026Kopstal 33(away)7-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home)0-0National Division
Sep 12, 2026Wiltz(away)2-1National Division
Sep 6, 2026US Rumelange(home)3-0National Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Differdange 03 wins, 1 draw, 1 Progres Niederkorn win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Progres Niederkorn 2-3 FC Differdange 03National Division
Nov 30, 2025FC Differdange 03 1-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Mar 1, 2025Progres Niederkorn 0-2 FC Differdange 03National Division
Sep 1, 2024FC Differdange 03 1-0 Progres NiederkornNational Division
May 13, 2024Progres Niederkorn 0-1 FC Differdange 03National Division
Apr 24, 2024Progres Niederkorn 2-0 FC Differdange 03Cup

Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs FC Differdange 03 on May 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Differdange 03 score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Differdange 032.50.877/1510/15
Progres Niederkorn1.91.468/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Differdange 03 sit 2nd in National Division (24 points from 9 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 4th (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Differdange 03980125524
4Progres Niederkorn961215519

A question about FC Differdange 03 vs Progres Niederkorn?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Differdange 03 vs Progres Niederkorn?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Progres Niederkorn.
Where and when is FC Differdange 03 vs Progres Niederkorn played?
FC Differdange 03 vs Progres Niederkorn is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parc des Sports, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Differdange 03 and Progres Niederkorn

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