Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,413).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Swift Hesperange have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 0-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 2-7 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Union Titus Petange(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Swift Hesperange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 1-1 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 1-4 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| May 18, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 1-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 1-1 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| May 9, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 1-1 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 0-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Swift Hesperange score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Swift Hesperange | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Swift Hesperange sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Swift Hesperange.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026F91 DudelangevsVictoria Rosport
- Oct 31, 2026US RumelangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Oct 31, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsFC Differdange 03
- Oct 31, 2026UNA StrassenvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Oct 31, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsUS Hostert
- Oct 31, 2026Atert BissenvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Oct 31, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsWiltz