AS Kayes vs Réal Bamako: prediction and stats
Première DivisionMatchday 3Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Réal Bamako the favourite at 53%, against 30% for a draw and 17% for AS Kayes. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Kayes vs Réal Bamako?
Réal Bamako starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,520).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Kayes vs Réal Bamako
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Kayes
Not enough data to predict the AS Kayes lineup.
Réal Bamako
4-2-3-1- 26Moussa Koffi Koné
- 7Cheickna Ahmadou Hamadou Layhi Allahou Diakité
- 6T. Traore
- 19Nouhoum Cisse
- 6Makan Samabaly
- 11Ibourahima Sidibé
- 14Drissa Diarra
- 24Yaya Sangare
- 15Fousseyni Koné
- 3Boubacar Traoré
- 16Germain Berthé
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, AS Kayes have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Réal Bamako have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Derby Academie(away) | 1-3 | Première Division |
| Oct 31, 2026 | US Bougouba(home) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ASKO(home) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako(home) | 0-1 | Première Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 3-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 0-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AS Kayes score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Réal Bamako score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Kayes | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| Réal Bamako | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Kayes sit 12th in Première Division (1 point from 2 matches) and Réal Bamako sit 10th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Réal Bamako | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | AS Kayes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about AS Kayes vs Réal Bamako?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Kayes vs Réal Bamako?
- The Footlab AI model makes Réal Bamako the favourite at 53%, against 30% for a draw and 17% for AS Kayes.
- Where and when is AS Kayes vs Réal Bamako played?
- AS Kayes vs Réal Bamako is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Première Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.