AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueMatchday 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 52%, against 32% for a draw and 16% for AS Kigali. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports?
Rayon Sports starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,594).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Kigali
Not enough data to predict the AS Kigali lineup.
Rayon Sports
4-3-3- 21Eid Mugadam
- 7B. Bimenyimana
- 20Ismaïla Diarra
- 11Héritier Luvumbu Nzinga
- 30Joackiam Ojera
- 8A. Mussa
- 4Abdul Rwatubyaye
- 2A. Serumogo
- 23I. Mitima
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 22A. Hakizimana
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Kigali have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rayon Sports have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Marines(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Black Bulls Maputo(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Black Bulls Maputo(home) | 0-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AS Kigali wins, 0 draws, 4 Rayon Sports wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | AS Kigali 0-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Rayon Sports 0-2 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Rayon Sports 2-1 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | AS Kigali 1-3 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2024 | Rayon Sports 4-2 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | AS Kigali 2-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports on Feb 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Kigali score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rayon Sports score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Kigali | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Rayon Sports | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Kigali sit 18th in National Soccer League (5 points from 6 matches) and Rayon Sports sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rayon Sports | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 18 | AS Kigali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 |
A question about AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 52%, against 32% for a draw and 16% for AS Kigali.
- Where and when is AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports played?
- AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.