Musanze vs AS Kigali: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ubworoherane Football Stadium, Musanze
The Footlab AI model makes Musanze the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for AS Kigali. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musanze vs AS Kigali?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Musanze (1,623) and AS Kigali (1,605).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Musanze vs AS Kigali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Musanze
Not enough data to predict the Musanze lineup.
AS Kigali
Not enough data to predict the AS Kigali lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 08:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musanze have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; AS Kigali have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Police(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Musanze wins, 0 draws, 4 AS Kigali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | AS Kigali 2-1 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Musanze 1-0 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Musanze 1-2 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2024 | AS Kigali 1-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | AS Kigali 1-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Musanze 1-0 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Musanze score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AS Kigali score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musanze | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| AS Kigali | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musanze sit 7th in National Soccer League (9 points from 7 matches) and AS Kigali sit 18th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Musanze | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | AS Kigali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Musanze vs AS Kigali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musanze vs AS Kigali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Musanze the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for AS Kigali.
- Where and when is Musanze vs AS Kigali played?
- Musanze vs AS Kigali is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ubworoherane Football Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.