Amagaju vs Etincelles: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nyagisenyi Stadium, Gikongoro
The Footlab AI model makes Amagaju the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amagaju wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,990 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amagaju vs Etincelles?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Amagaju (1,563) and Etincelles (1,594).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amagaju vs Etincelles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amagaju
Not enough data to predict the Amagaju lineup.
Etincelles
Not enough data to predict the Etincelles lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amagaju have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Etincelles have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gicumbi(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marines(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Amagaju wins, 2 draws, 1 Etincelles win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Etincelles 0-0 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Amagaju 1-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Amagaju 0-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Etincelles 2-3 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Etincelles 0-1 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Amagaju 2-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Amagaju score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amagaju | 1.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amagaju sit 4th in National Soccer League (7 points from 5 matches) and Etincelles sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Amagaju | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Etincelles | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Amagaju vs Etincelles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amagaju vs Etincelles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amagaju the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is Amagaju vs Etincelles played?
- Amagaju vs Etincelles is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nyagisenyi Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.