Match

AS Roma vs Lecce: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma

AS RomaLecce

The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Lecce. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Roma vs Lecce?

AS Roma starts as the favourite with a 300-point Elo edge (2,123 vs 1,823).

74%17%9%
AS Roma winDrawLecce win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AS Roma vs Lecce

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AS Roma

3-4-2-1
  1. 14D. Malen
  1. 21P. Dybala
  2. 43Wesley
  3. 17M. Koné
  4. 20N. Molina
  5. 15M. de Roon
  6. 4B. Cristante
  1. 22Hermoso
  2. 23G. Mancini
  3. 5E. Ndicka
  1. 95P. Gollini

Lecce

4-3-3
  1. 50S. Pierotti
  2. 22Paco Esteban
  3. 7A. Ahmed Fatah
  1. 29L. Coulibaly
  2. 20I. Ilić
  3. 14Y. Maleh
  1. 17Danilo Veiga
  2. 25A. Gallo
  3. 5J. Siebert
  4. 44Tiago Gabriel
  1. 30W. Falcone

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lecce have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Roma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Real Madrid(home)3-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Como(away)0-0Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Inter(home)2-2Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Torino(away)2-0Serie A
Sep 10, 2026Fenerbahçe(away)1-1UEFA Champions League
Lecce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Bologna(home)1-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026AC Milan(away)0-3Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Monza(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 7, 2026Cagliari(away)0-1Serie A
Aug 31, 2026AS Roma(home)0-4Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 AS Roma wins, 1 draw, 0 Lecce wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 31, 2026Lecce 0-4 AS RomaSerie A
Mar 22, 2026AS Roma 1-0 LecceSerie A
Jan 6, 2026Lecce 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
Mar 29, 2025Lecce 0-1 AS RomaSerie A
Dec 7, 2024AS Roma 4-1 LecceSerie A
Apr 1, 2024Lecce 0-0 AS RomaSerie A

Last archived meeting: Lecce vs AS Roma on Aug 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Roma2.11.468/1510/15
Lecce1.31.545/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Roma sit 3rd in Serie A (14 points from 6 matches) and Lecce sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3AS Roma642014314
13Lecce62046126

A question about AS Roma vs Lecce?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Lecce?
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Lecce.
Where and when is AS Roma vs Lecce played?
AS Roma vs Lecce is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AS Roma and Lecce

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