Lecce vs Lazio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Lecce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lazio wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecce vs Lazio?
Lazio starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,051 vs 1,841).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lecce vs Lazio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lecce
4-3-3- 50S. Pierotti
- 22Paco Esteban
- 7A. Ahmed Fatah
- 29L. Coulibaly
- 20I. Ilić
- 14Y. Maleh
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 25A. Gallo
- 5J. Siebert
- 44Tiago Gabriel
- 30W. Falcone
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 11G. Isaksen
- 21R. Belahyane
- 24K. Taylor
- 16D. Frattesi
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 5D. Doekhi
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 35C. Mandas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecce have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Lazio have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lecce wins, 1 draw, 3 Lazio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Lecce 0-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lazio 2-0 Lecce | Serie A |
| May 25, 2025 | Lazio 0-1 Lecce | Serie A |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Lecce 1-2 Lazio | Serie A |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Lazio 1-0 Lecce | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Lecce 2-1 Lazio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lazio score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Lazio | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecce sit 13th in Serie A (6 points from 6 matches) and Lazio sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Lecce vs Lazio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecce vs Lazio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Lecce.
- Where and when is Lecce vs Lazio played?
- Lecce vs Lazio is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.