Match

AS Roma vs Bologna: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma

AS RomaBologna

The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bologna. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Roma wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Roma vs Bologna?

AS Roma starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 2,025).

55%25%20%
AS Roma winDrawBologna win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AS Roma vs Bologna

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AS Roma

3-4-2-1
  1. 14D. Malen
  1. 15M. de Roon
  2. 43Wesley
  3. 18M. Soulé
  4. 61N. Pisilli
  5. 20N. Molina
  6. 86Rodrigo Mora
  1. 26L. Balerdi
  2. 5E. Ndicka
  3. 22Hermoso
  1. 95P. Gollini

Bologna

3-4-2-1
  1. 91R. Piccoli
  1. 28N. Cambiaghi
  2. 19L. Ferguson
  3. 4T. Pobega
  4. 33Juan Miranda
  5. 20N. Zortea
  6. 10F. Bernardeschi
  1. 16N. Casale
  2. 36M. Darmian
  3. 3A. Theate
  1. 1Ł. Skorupski

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Bologna have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Roma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Slovan Bratislava(home)4-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 17, 2026Genoa(home)2-0Serie A
Oct 14, 2026Real Madrid(home)3-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Como(away)0-0Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Inter(home)2-2Serie A
Bologna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Inter(home)1-3Serie A
Oct 11, 2026Lecce(away)2-1Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Torino(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Napoli(away)0-1Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Sassuolo(home)2-2Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AS Roma wins, 2 draws, 2 Bologna wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Bologna 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
Mar 19, 2026AS Roma 3-4 BolognaUEFA Europa League
Mar 12, 2026Bologna 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Europa League
Aug 23, 2025AS Roma 1-0 BolognaSerie A
Jan 12, 2025Bologna 2-2 AS RomaSerie A
Nov 10, 2024AS Roma 2-3 BolognaSerie A

Last archived meeting: Bologna vs AS Roma on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS Roma score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bologna score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Roma2.31.468/1511/15
Bologna1.11.628/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Roma sit 3rd in Serie A (17 points from 7 matches) and Bologna sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3AS Roma752016317
15Bologna71246105

A question about AS Roma vs Bologna?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Bologna?
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bologna.
Where and when is AS Roma vs Bologna played?
AS Roma vs Bologna is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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