AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mestský futbalový štadión Na Sihoti, Trenčín
The Footlab model makes AS Trencin the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dukla Banská Bystrica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate AS Trencin (1,781) and Dukla Banská Bystrica (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Trencin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Dukla Banská Bystrica have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Trnava(home) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jednota Bánová(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbrezová(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Košice(away) | 3-3 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ružomberok(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lovca(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Žilina(home) | 3-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Trnava(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AS Trencin win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dukla Banská Bystrica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | AS Trencin 2-2 Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Dukla Banská Bystrica 2-3 AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Dukla Banská Bystrica 6-1 AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | AS Trencin 2-2 Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | AS Trencin 2-0 Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Dukla Banská Bystrica 4-2 AS Trencin | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica on Apr 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AS Trencin score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dukla Banská Bystrica score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Trencin | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Trencin sit 10th in Super Liga (2 points from 4 matches) and Dukla Banská Bystrica sit 9th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
| 10 | AS Trencin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
- The Footlab model makes AS Trencin the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dukla Banská Bystrica.
- Where and when is AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica played?
- AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mestský futbalový štadión Na Sihoti, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.